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The Australian National University

Migration modelling research provides accurate population estimates and has significant impact on public policy

In Australia and throughout the world, public bodies and policymakers have struggled to quantify migration and make accurate population forecasts because of inconsistent data from a variety of disparate sources. James Raymer has demonstrated how, via the use of statistical modelling, conceptual frameworks and migration modelling, policymakers can radically improve the information they glean from the data sources at their disposal. His work with colleagues at the University of Southampton successfully guided the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in overhauling their methodologies, finally making them compliant with European Union (EU) regulations. The wider impact of accurate numbers is significant for public service provision, planning, and the UK economy. Furthermore, data from national statistical offices feeds into numerous areas of public policy, hence the provision of accurate estimates has significant reach and impact on such policies.

 

Updated: 2 November 2016/ Responsible Officer:  Head, School of Demography / Page Contact:  Website Administrator